The numbers are:
Harmony Centre 9%The conclusions:
Farmers and Greens 6.7%
Kalniete - Kristovskis party 6.4%
People's Party 6%
Štokenbergs - Pabriks party 3.7%
New Era Party 3.6%
Fatherland and Freedom 2.5%
undecided or would not vote 46%
- Compared to the previous poll, the biggest loser is opposition's New Era. Kalniete and other former popular ex-New Era people are starting a new party and the former New Era voters are gone to them.
- The coalition parties remain unpopular but not more than two months ago. The huge undecided/would not vote segment is still there. The new parties have convinced the former New Era voters but not much of the rest of the country.
- The undecided voters will probably vote for someone. It's impossible to predict whom. But the next parliament will be quite different from the current one.
Coalition: 39For all of post-independence Latvia, the Russian parties have been left in the opposition. With those numbers, it's hard to think of a stable government without the Harmony Centre, the biggest and the more moderate of the two ethnically Russian parties that we have.
Farmers and Greens 15
People's Party 14
Opposition - ethnically Russian: 31
Harmony Centre 20
Opposition - ethnically Latvian: 30
Kalniete - Kristovskis 14
New Era Party 8
Štokenbergs - Pabriks 8